The Impact of Cultivated Area, Fertilizer Use, and Rainfall on Pulses Production in India: Evidence from an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model

Santanu Bhattacharya , Souvik Dasgupta

Pages: 42-49

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Abstract:

The study investigates the relationship among the total production of pulses, total production area under pulses, total use of fertilizer and total annual rainfall in India during 1950-51 to 2016-17. The result establishes the existence of long run relationship in the total production of pulses, total production area under pulses, total use of fertilizer and total annual rainfall. According to the results of the ARDL and ARDL-VECM tests, the total production of pulses from the prior year develops a major long-term influence on the total production of pulses this year. The annual rainfall of the current year significantly enhances the total output of pulses for that same year, both in the short and long term. The findings indicate that the total area of pulse production, total fertilizer usage, and yearly rainfall for the current year significantly influence the total pulse production in the short term.

Keywords:

Pulses Production, India, Structural Break, Zivot-Andrews test, ARDL, ARDL-VECM test, ARDL-WALD test

DOI URL:- https://doi.org/10.55524/irmss.2025.1.1.7